Humankind has always sought to understand what the future holds. From the rulers of ancient Rome to today’s CEOs, leaders have continuously looked for ways to anticipate change and secure their domains. Fortunately, modern businesses no longer need to rely on superstition—today, we have structured methodologies and tools to guide us through uncertainty, such as Futures Thinking.

At RevelX, we specialize in helping organizations navigate this complexity by leveraging Futures Thinking to uncover opportunities, mitigate risks, and develop resilient strategies. Moreover, with advanced tools from our partner Qmarkets like their Innovation Trend Management solution, companies can identify and capitalize on emerging trends in real-time, ensuring they stay ahead of the competition.

Futures what?

There is no singular definition of Futures Thinking, but it is widely understood as a strategic, anticipatory approach to decision-making. It involves exploring potential scenarios, identifying trends, and preparing for uncertainties—enabling organizations to make informed choices today that shape a successful tomorrow. This discipline integrates insights from technology, sociology, economics, and environmental studies to analyze various future outcomes. You might also hear it referred to as foresight, futurology, or anticipation studies.

By analyzing past patterns, forecasting trends, and envisioning multiple possible futures, organizations can proactively adapt their strategies. In today’s VUCA (volatile, uncertain, complex, and ambiguous) world, this approach is more critical than ever.

A step by step approach

At RevelX, we guide organizations through a structured Futures Thinking process, typically executed in four key steps:

  1. Asking the Right Question – Defining the scope and timeframe (e.g., 5, 10, or 20 years ahead).
  2. Scanning the World – Identifying key drivers, emerging trends, and disruptive forces.
  3. Mapping the Possibilities – Developing multiple future scenarios, from best to worst case.
  4. Strategizing for Success – Evaluating strategic actions and aligning them with desirable futures.

An essential fifth step is using insights to influence business strategy. By leveraging Qmarkets’ Q-trend tool, companies can efficiently track emerging trends and integrate these insights into innovation strategies. The ability to filter through noise and focus on the most impactful trends allows businesses to take informed, proactive steps toward shaping their desired future.

From Futures Thinking to innovation execution

One of the most powerful applications of Futures Thinking is its ability to feed into innovation and design thinking. By defining potential future scenarios, organizations can create and test product concepts tailored to upcoming market needs. This ensures they remain ahead of competitors and prepared for unexpected changes.

Welcome to The Voroscope

A key concept in Futures Thinking is the Futures Cone, also known as the Voroscope, developed by Joseph Voros. This model categorizes possible futures into several layers, from probable and plausible futures to wild card scenarios that seem outlandish today but could become reality tomorrow. For more on the origin of the Voroscope, visit The Voroscope.

Another powerful framework is the Framework Foresight model from the University of Houston (Houston Foresight Resources), which provides organizations with structured methodologies to explore long-term strategic planning.

The Voroscope from Joseph Voros
The Voroscope from Joseph Voros
The Framework Foresight from the University of Houston
The Framework Foresight from the University of Houston

Future-proofing your business with RevelX

At RevelX, we partner with companies to embed Futures Thinking into their strategic planning processes. By leveraging our expertise and cutting-edge tools like Qmarkets’ Q-trend, we help businesses:

  • Identify and track emerging trends.
  • Develop resilient strategies for future uncertainties.
  • Align innovation initiatives with future market needs.

The future is uncertain, but with the right approach, it doesn’t have to be unpredictable. Let’s navigate tomorrow—together.

So where should you focus?

Futures Thinking is invaluable for CEOs who want to proactively steer their companies toward a preferred future while mitigating the risks of disruption from emerging technologies or new competitors. The key question is: What actions must we take today to remain competitive in a rapidly evolving market?

For instance, if you operate factories, Futures Thinking can help assess the impact of trends like automation and AI on the future of production facilities. These sessions can also explore:

  • Desirability – What will customers and stakeholders value in the future?
  • Technological Feasibility – What innovations could be possible in the coming years?
  • Economic Viability – How can these advancements translate into a sustainable and profitable business model?

Bonus: Futures Thinking tools

There are a number of specific exercises that are well tailored to Futures Thinking. Below are some tools and exercises that we found useful as part of a Futures Thinking session, but there are of course a lot more:

Scenario analysis: used in strategic market analysis. Questions to ask here are “what are the most likely scenarios?” and “Can we extrapolate current trends?”

Business model canvas exercises: the BMC can be adapted to imagine different possible futures by altering any of the building blocks in it.

Horizon scanning: the systematic examination of potential threats, opportunities, and likely future developments, including those at the margins of current thinking and beyond conventional foresight timeframes.

The futures triangle (Sohail), with the weight of history, the push of the present and the pull of the future:

Weight of history: What could hold us back? Which barriers are necessary to change? What deep structures are resisting the change?

Push of the present: Which trends push the people towards specific futures? What quantitative trends and drivers are or may be changing the future?

Pull of the future: What is going to pull us towards a specific future? What is a compelling image of the future? Which images in the future are competing?

The 4 archetypes: Also knows as “Dator’s four futures“, we look at 4 alternative futures: one of continuation, one of (societal) transformation, one of disciplined society, and one of collapse.

Futures wheel: The futures wheel is one of the most widely used methods of futurists. It is a creative way of encouraging people to think about the future. It is usually about organizing a trend or about the ideas surrounding a future development (Bandhold, Lindgren, 2003).

Persona cards: what will the life of persona X look like in 20 years?

Trend canvas – collect anc luster trends you see in the world. For an explanation, see trend canvas – you can also find a miro template to a consumer trend canvas here.

Let’s get in touch!

Are you ready to elevate your future thinking capabilities? Discover how RevelX can help you achieve sustainable growth. Contact us.